Processes, drivers, Prediction: modeling the History and Evolution of Thwaites (PROPHET)
PROPHET is a modelling project intended to reduce uncertainty in near-future projections of the evolution of Thwaites Glacier. This will be achieved by improving the representation of several key processes that are not currently characterised well in large scale ice-flow models, and by determining the relative importance of different external drivers of change. Using coupled ice-ocean models, predictions will be made of the future ice loss from Thwaites Glacier and its contribution to sea level rise.
Researchers have produced the first physics-based quantifiable evidence that thinning ice shelves all around Antarctica result in an instantaneous response sending more ice flowing from the land into the ocean.